Archive for September 2021

Homeowners See Big 2nd Quarter Equity Gains

Equity is the difference between what you owe on your house and what it’s worth. So, when home prices are growing, equity is too. And with the recent spike in home prices, equity has surged. In fact, according to Black Knight’s most recent Mortgage Monitor Report, tappable equity – the amount available for homeowners to borrow against while still retaining at least 20 percent equity in their homes – grew 37 percent over year-before levels during the second quarter of this year. Ben Graboske, Black Knight’s president, says homeowners have made big gains. “This is by far the strongest growth we’ve ever seen and equates to some $173,000 in equity available to the average mortgage holder, a $20,000 increase in just three months,” Graboske said. According to the report, tappable equity hit a record high at the end of the first quarter, reaching $8.1 trillion. During the second quarter, it added an additional $1 trillion to that total. (source)

Mortgage Rates Hover Just Above Lows

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Applications Survey, average mortgage rates were mostly flat last week, hovering just above last year’s historic lows. There was little movement seen for 30-year fixed-rate loans with conforming loan balances, loans backed by the FHA, and 15-year fixed-rate loans. Rates for jumbo loans saw a slight increase. Mike Fratantoni, MBA’s senior vice president and chief economist, says rates remain low but could see upward pressure by the end of the year. “Economic data has sent mixed signals, with slower job growth but a further drop in the unemployment rate in August,” Fratantoni said. “We expect that further improvements will lead to a tapering of Fed MBS purchases by the end of the year, which should put some upward pressure on mortgage rates.” The MBA’s weekly survey has been conducted since 1990 and covers 75 percent of all retail residential mortgage applications. (source)


More Americans Say It’s A Good Time To Buy

Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index is based on a monthly survey gauging Americans’ feelings about the housing market and overall economy. It asks respondents for their opinions about buying and selling a home, mortgage rates, home prices, their jobs and financial situation. In August, the index was largely unchanged from the month before. However, the share of participants who said they felt it was a good time to buy a home was up 7 percent. It was the first increase in buying optimism since March. Mark Palim, Fannie Mae’s vice president and deputy chief economist, says buyers expect conditions to improve in the months ahead. “The ‘good time to buy’ component, while still near a survey low, did tick up for the first time since March, perhaps owing in part to the favorable mortgage rate environment and growing expectations that home price growth will begin to moderate over the next twelve months,” Palim said. Overall, 32 percent of respondents said they thought it was a good time to buy, while 73 percent said it was a good time to sell. (source)

How Building Material Costs Affect Home Buyers

The typical home buyer doesn’t spend much time considering the price of gypsum products or ready-mix concrete. But the prices builders pay for building materials has an effect on buyers – even if they aren’t shopping for a new home. That’s because new home construction is the fastest way to boost inventory. And, when there are more homes for sale, home prices moderate. So, when more new homes are being built, it benefits all buyers because it helps keep prices in check. That’s part of the reason prices have been rising so rapidly over the past year. Building material costs have been increasing at a fast pace. In fact, according to new numbers from the National Association of Home Builders, material costs have increased almost 20 percent over the past 12 months. That’s made it more difficult for home builders to build the affordable homes needed to bring balance to the market and more choices to buyers. (source)

Home Prices Increase Almost Everywhere

There are many gauges of U.S. home prices but the S&P Case-Shiller Indices is among the most closely followed. The index is constructed to accurately track the price path of a typical single-family home in each of the nine U.S. Census divisions. According to the most recent release, home prices are still increasing and the gains can be seen almost everywhere. In fact, Craig J. Lazzara, managing director and global head of index investment strategy at S&P, says prices have hit all-time highs everywhere but Chicago. “The last several months have been extraordinary not only in the level of price gains, but in the consistency of gains across the country,” Lazzara said. “Home prices in 19 of our 20 cities (all but Chicago) now stand at all-time highs, as do the National Composite and both the 10-and 20-City indices.” Fortunately for home buyers, the number of homes for sale has begun to improve and should help slow the rate of price increases in coming months. (source)

Demand for Home Purchase Loans Increases

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Applications Survey, demand for loans to buy homes rose last week to its highest level since early July. Though slight, the 1 percent increase shows home buyers remain active as the summer market winds down. Joel Kan, MBA’s associate vice president of economic and industry forecasting, says the high end of the market is still dominate. “Home purchase activity continues to be dominated by higher price tiers of the market, with the purchase average loan size now at $396,000, the highest average in five weeks,” Kan said. But while demand for loans to buy homes improved week-over-week, refinance activity was down 4 percent. Mortgage rates, on the other hand, saw little change from the week before. The MBA’s survey has been conducted weekly since 1990 and covers 75 percent of all retail residential mortgage applications. (source)

Lenders See Shift in Mortgage Loan Demand

For most of the past year, average mortgage rates have hovered at, or just above, historic lows. Favorable rates helped home buyers at a time when prices and bidding wars were on the rise. But while low rates were good for buyers, they were also good for homeowners who wanted to refinance their loans. The corresponding boom saw refinance activity up nearly 125 percent over year-before levels at the end of 2020. But now, according to new numbers from ATTOM Data Solutions, the market has shifted. In fact, during the second quarter of this year, refinance activity actually fell, dropping 15 percent quarter-over-quarter. At the same time, demand for home-purchase loans was up 22 percent. Todd Teta, ATTOM’s chief product officer, says it’s a significant change. “The demand for home loans across the country shifted significantly in the second quarter as refinancing activity receded and home-purchase and equity loans increased,” Teta said. “We haven’t seen that pattern for several years.” (source)